June 26, 2010
Investors nowadays have an unhealthy obsession with growth (and by nowadays, I mean since about 1870). I, for my part, have no objection to growth, but as I have stated, I don’t like overpaying for growth, which usually simplifies to “I don’t like paying for growth.” But if growth is king, and people are willing […]
June 20, 2010
As you may recall, I recommended Chiquita Brands a couple of months ago, and since then it has gone down from 15.17 to 13.58 today, or down about 10%. So, not really my best work, I suppose, but an economic crisis in Europe, where Chiquita Brands performs 40% of its operations, would naturally dampen enthusiasm […]
June 14, 2010
I am frequently surprised by the places where I find promising looking stocks, but really I shouldn’t be. Value can theoretically be found in any sector, although the newer and developing sectors are unlikely to hold much in the way of reliably underpriced stocks, since there is so much unpredictability in the future course of […]
June 7, 2010
It has been observed by me, and possibly other people, that free cash flow, more than earnings, is a correct measure of an equity investor’s true returns (free cash flow is earnings plus depreciation minus capital expenditures). The logic behind this goes back to Benjamin Graham’s notion of calculating true earnings; he said that before […]
May 17, 2010
I suppose that my loyal readers are tired of hearing me going on about cheap Chinese stocks, but value investors have to go where the value is. Some Chinese stocks, small and overlooked, seem to show up on my screens more often than I would expect considering the China cult, and although HQ Sustainable Maritime […]
May 9, 2010
You may recall that cheap and Chinese is starting to become a theme on this blog, and today is not an exception. This one, however, has nothing to do with food: it is China Security & Surveillance (CSR), which trades at an exciting P/E ratio of 5.44, although they did pay an unusually low amount […]
May 5, 2010
I have gone over the details of Capstead Mortgage previously: that their exclusive concentration on adjustable rate mortgages insulates them almost completely from interest rate movements, and the blank check that Fannie and Freddie got from the government makes their loans absolutely safe, so the only thing to worry about is what premium to book […]
April 28, 2010
I have recommended cheap Chinese stocks as desirable as a way to bet on the possibility that China will be forced to let the yuan float against the dollar, and of course, a cheap stock anywhere is a cheap stock, although markets outside of the first world should be given a higher equity risk premium. […]
April 22, 2010
It was announced today that CenturyTel will buy Qwest Communications, subject to shareholder and regulatory approval, for $10.6 billion, or $6.02 per share, in an all stock deal. If you’ll recall, way back in June I recommended Qwest as a company with an ample free cash flow in excess of its reported earnings. At the […]
April 20, 2010
Much of the issues surrounding executive compensation is a concern that the manager’s interests should be aligned with the shareholders’. We have seen large cash salaries giving way to stock and options grants, and now the concern is that CEOs will do whatever they can to juice the price of the stock when their options […]